Are Hotel Foreclosures the Next To Check Out?

Why buy a house when you can buy a W Hotel? Yes, you can actually buy a W Hotel…or, if you’re looking for something smaller, there’s a “Mondrian Boutique Hotel” available…and this is precisely the problem.

As more and more homeowners are deciding to forfeit their homes to lenders, industry analysts are also reporting that hotel owners are beginning to “follow suit” by the hundreds. Of course, this shouldn’t come as that much of a surprise. The current economic climate has resulted in colossal depreciation of hotels to values far less than what many owners still owe — (sound familiar?) In fact, Real Capital Analytics reports that the cumulative loan value of non-casino hotels has reached a staggering $16.8 billion on 1,000 properties around the country.

Of course, hotels aren’t the only businesses that are struggling to pay their mortgages, so why are they the ones that seem to be receiving so much attention? Unfortunately for hotel owners, their loans are typically included with commercial mortgage-backed securities. As a result, several investors own these bonds, which further complicates restructuring the current loan. And in the end, these complexities often make it difficult for the property to stay in the hands of the same owner.

Hotels add another layer of complexity in inherently unpredictable revenue streams. Unlike malls, hotels don’t have the luxury of even a semblance of consistent revenues. Yes, I know retail is hurting and stores are closing every day — putting huge financial burdens on mall owners. But retail benefits from long term leases and at least provide some security — and, hopefully, sustainability. Hotels, on the other hand, are dealing with dramatically high vacancy rates and can literally “bleed to death overnight”.

Where The Same Old Story Turns A Little “Upside Down”

An interesting reality of today’s hotel financial plight is that it’s effecting larger hotels and chains proportionally higher than “independents”. Historically during economic downturns, the hotels that are hit the hardest are those that have fewer resources to “hang on”. But in this economy, that’s not the case and here’s why…

Abundance + 2005 X Acquisitions = 2009

Ironically, for the publicly traded hotels caught in this mess, “having”, which kept them afloat in recessions past, became “their” Achilles’ heel.  Need I say more than buying a hotel circa 2005″? Publicly traded hotel owners decided to grow during this era of exuberance. Half a decade later there’s a pile of debt.

It only seems fitting to note that on this list of distressed hotels is the infamous, but iconic, Watergate; once a symbol of luxury and power in the Nation’s Capitol, it received no bids at an auction last month with a $25M opening price. I would’ve put a bid in, but I’m waiting for The Washington Monument.

Licensed in Virginia, Maryland, and D.C., Kevin Koitz, with The Koitz Group @ Long and Foster RE specializes in Washington DC real estate and surrounding luxury communities in Montgomery County Maryland. Visit his Bethesda Real Estate guide or his Georgetown Real Estate page to get a flavor for some of DC’s finest areas.

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August 20, 2009

Kevin,
I love the hotel mathematical equation! Wisconsin has seen a huge boom in hotels over the last few years, since it is under developed. I have not seen any hotel foreclosures to date. Even the small independents are doing great this year; at least in Manitowoc, WI.

August 20, 2009

Thanks Robert – as you can see I’m a math genius!…

it’s funny, I was aware this was coming but I didn’t realize the extent until The Watergate. It made me want to take a deeper look. It’s especially rampant in California. (I read 250 hotels in default or foreclosure in the LA times). And it’s hitting everyone, from a dive motel to a The Four Seasons in San Francisco.

@Wisconsin – I wonder how they’re faring in Madison. Better yet, The Dells..we’ll need Jolenta on this one!

August 22, 2009

Wow! Guess everybody is looking for a way out!

August 23, 2009

Hi Ashlee,

That was my first thought too :-) How many owners are going to to go “The Chapter 11 Route” made famous by the venerable :-) Donald Trump. And what would that mean for the (imminent) state of the economy.

It’s also interesting to think about that for just about any moderately leveraged (non-casino) hotel,a high occupancy rate isn’t a luxury, it’s a necessity And last time I checked, many areas in the country, were at 20 year lows…which makes sense but begs the question — are these “first thousand” hotels just the tip of the iceberg?

Thoughts?

August 28, 2009

Great article.

A friend of mine does, err did, work (carpentry) for a couple large hotel chains in California and you’re saying the same things he did a few weeks ago. It’s rough work running a hotel nowadays – I’m sure the swine flu fears and cartel shootings aren’t helping large chains with hotels in Mexico either.

I bet there are some pretty slick deals on travel though.

I’d think the Watergate warrants $25 million…there must not be too much faith in the travel industry’s near future.

August 29, 2009

Jayson…
- hmmmm, you bring up an interesting question. If my numbers are still correct, why such a large concentration of defaults in the greater LA area. Yes, the huge population….and California is hurting — but 1/4 of all foreclosed/defaulted hotels?

Thoughts?

- I would’ve thought the same regarding the The Watergate — but the way I understand it, the hotel portion (piece auctioned) would’ve needed renovations and perhaps finding “reasonably affordable money” commercial construction $ — or any money at all for that matter :-) — was/is the problem.

Thanks Jayson…

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